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Adjusted Current
Account
The Current Account released by
the Ministry of Finance is a net flow of current transactions, including goods,
services, and interest payments into and out of Japan. A current account surplus
indicates that the flow of capital into Japan exceeds the capital
reduction. A current account deficit indicates that there is a net capital
outflow from these sources. A high reading is seen as positive for the JPY,
while a low reading is seen as negative
Consumer Confidence
Households
The Consumer Confidence released
by the Cabinet Office captures the level of confidence that house holds have in
economic activity. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic
expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A result above 50 is
positive (or bullish) for the JPY, whereas a result below 50 is seen as
bearish.
Domestic Corporate
Goods Price Index
The Domestic Corporate Goods
Price Index released by the Bank of Japan is a measure of prices for goods
purchased by domestic corporates in Japan. The DCGPI is correlated with
the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and is a way to measure changes in manufacturing
cost and inflation in Japan.
A high reading is seen as anticipatory of a rate hike and is positive (or
bullish) for the JPY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
Machine Tool Orders
The machine Tool Orders released
by the Japan Machine Tool Builders' Association shows movements in tool orders
by manufacturers. It indicates business conditions and the overall economic
condition in Japan.
If a large number of tool orders come out, this may generate a positive
sentiment (or bullish) for the JPY. On the other hand, a small number is seen
as negative (or bearish).
Tokyo Condominium Sales
The Tokyo Condominium Sales
released by the Japan Real Estate Institute present changes in the value of
condominiums sold in Tokyo.
As Tokyo is the capital city of Japan, this
report serves as an indicator for the health of the overall Japanese Housing
Market. A high reading is seen as positive (or bearish) for the JPY, while a
low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.
Capacity Utilization
The Capacity Utilization released
by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry is the percentage of the
Japanese production capacity which is actually used over the short-time period.
It is indicative of overall growth and demand in the Japanese economy. A high
capacity utilization stimulates inflationary pressures. A high reading is seen
as positive (or bullish) for the JPY, while a low reading is seen as negative
(or Bearish).
Industrial Production
The Industrial Production
released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry measures outputs of the
Japanese factories and mines. Changes in industrial production are widely
followed as a major indicator of strength in the manufacturing sector. A high
reading is seen as bullish for the JPY, whereas a low reading is seen as
bearish.
Tankan All Industries Capital Expenditure (Capex)
Measures capital expenditure
(capex) by all Japanese industries except the financial industry. Capital
expenditure is an early indicator for production since companies usually make
capital investments in order to expand operational productivity. Thus
increasing capex figures can forecast economic growth, particularly if they are
accompanied by high capacity utilization rates. The headline number is the
annualized percentage change in spending from the previous quarter.
Tankan Large
Manufacturers Index
Tracks overall business
conditions for large manufacturing enterprises. The Tankan's main component,
the Large Manufacturer's Index is indicative of the sentiment of leading
manufacturing companies. The index uses zero as the centerline between positive
and negative outlooks; the farther the value from zero the stronger the
sentiment. High positive values signify favorable business conditions and
suggest increased levels of production in the future. Low values suggest an
ongoing or future contraction in the manufacturing sector. This measure is
especially important for Japan
because manufacturing firms are a primary driver of growth for the
export-oriented economy.
Tankan Large
Manufacturers Outlook
A forecast of the next quarter's
Large Manufacturer's Index. The figure is a measure of future business
expectations, providing an indication of economic trends based on factors like
projected profits and capital investment. The headline number is the projected
value of the Large Manufacturer's Index for the next quarter.
Tankan
Non-Manufacturing Index
Reflects the prevailing sentiment
of firms in the service sector on current business conditions. Business
confidence among non-manufacturing firms, which conduct most of their business
within Japan,
reflects both the strength of domestic demand and the health of the non-export
sector. The Non-Manufacturing Index is also important as a measure of overall
economic health. The index uses zero as a centerline between positive and
negative outlooks; the further the value is from zero the stronger the
sentiment. High positive figures are indicative of a healthy and growing
domestic economy.
Tankan
Non-Manufacturing Outlook
Forecasts the value of the
Non-Manufacturing Index in the next quarter. The Non-Manufacturing Outlook is a
good measure of future business expectations, providing an indication of
economic trends based on factors like projected profits, capital investment,
and consumer demand. The headline number is the projected value of the
Non-Manufacturing Diffusion Index for the next quarter.
BoJ Interest Rate
Decision
BoJ Interest Rate Decision is
announced by the Bank of Japan. If the BoJ is hawkish about the inflationary
outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish,
for the JYP. Likewise, if the BoJ has a dovish view on the Japanese economy and
keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is negative, or
bearish.
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