Current Account

The Current Account released by the Statistiches Bundesamt Deutschland is a net flow of current transactions, including goods, services, and interest payments into and out of Germany. A current account surplus indicates that the flow of capital into Germany exceeds the capital reduction. A current account deficit indicates that there is a net capital outflow from these sources. A high reading is seen as positive (or Bullish) for the EUR, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).

Consumer Price Index

The Germany consumer price index released by the Statistiches Bundesamt Deutschland measures the average price change for all goods and services purchased by households for consumption purposes. CPI is the main indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. A high reading is positive (or Bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).

Consumer Price Index - Core

The Consumer Price Index released by the EuroStat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food and energy. The CPI Core is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

ECB Publishes Monthly Report

The European Central Bank publishes a monthly report that contains a detailed analysis of the prevailing economic situation and the risks to price stability. It also provides articles on a wide range of topics related to the tasks of the ECB. A high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive, or bullish, for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.

Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey

The GfK Consumer Confidence is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A high reading is positive (ore bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Industrial Production s.a.

The Industrial Production is released by the Eurostat. It shows the volume of production of Industries such as factories and manufacturing. Up trend is regarded as inflationary which may anticipate interest rates to rise. If high industrial production growth comes out, this may generate a positive sentiment (or bullish) for the EUR, while low industrial production is seen as a negative sentiment (or bearish).

IFO - Business Climate

This German business sentiment index published by the CESifo Group is closely watched as an early indicator of current conditions and business expectations in the Euro Zone. The Institute surveys more than 7,000 enterprises on their assessment of the business situation and their short-term planning. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the EUR.

IFO - Expectations

The IFO Expectations released by the CESifo Group is closely watched as an early indicator of current conditions and business expectations for the next six months, where firms rate the future outlook as better, same, or worse. An optimistic view of those 7,000 business leaders and senior managers is considered as positive, or bullish for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative, or bearish.

PMI Manufacturing

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by the NTE Economics captures business conditions in the manufacturing sector. As the manufacturing sector dominates a large part of total GDP, the manufacturing PMI is an important indicator of business conditions and the overall economic condition in the Euro Zone. A result above 50 signals is bullish for the EUR, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.

Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland measures the average changes in prices in the German primary markets. Changes in the PPI are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Purchasing Manager Index Services

The PMI service released by the NTC Research is an indicator of the economic situation in the Euro Zone services sector. It captures an overview of the condition of sales and employment. It is worth noting that the European service sector does not influence, either positively or negatively, the GDP as much as the Services PMI does. Any reading above 50 signals expansion, while a reading under 50 shows contraction.

Trade Balance

The Trade Balance released by the Statistiches Bundesamt Deutschland is a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows a trade surplus, while a negative value shows a trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the EUR. If a steady demand in exchange for German exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the EUR.

ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment

The Economic Sentiment published by the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. A positive number means that the share of optimists outweighs the share of pessimists. An optimistic view is considered as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative (or bearish).